Published on 21 April 2019
The study of interregional integration problems is an actual national economic task for any country. The economic, technological, resource, financial, informational, and other types of the interaction between two or more regional actors determine the interregional integration. Many works of both foreign and Russian authors are devoted to the study of various aspects of interregional integration. But these work spaid little attention to the development of the research methods of the interregional integration as a complex system. This is necessary to substantiate management decisions that contribute to the effective integration. The purpose of the research was to develop a cognitive tool consisting of models, methods, software that allows to simulate the structure and behavior of a complex system. The task of this article was to present the developed cognitive tool, which complements the existing cognitive modeling schemes of the complex systems with fuzzy data processing methods, the calculation of the integral indicator of the interregional integration efficiency, the risk assessment of integration processes. Number of results of imitational cognitive modeling of interregional economic integration were present. The study was conducted on the information concerning the interregional relations in the Southern Russia. A brief description of the basic elements of the theory of cognitive modeling of complex systems, a detailed diagram of the stages of cognitive modeling of the interregional economic integration, an example of a cognitive model, examples of analysis of various properties of the system, and scenarios of situations on this model were presented in this article. The results of the computational experiment to determine the stability, allocation of paths and cycles of the model, pulse simulation scenarios are illustrated. Comparison of all the results of a computational experiment and their correlation with information on the interregional relations allows one to speak about the fact that the model data do not contradict the real data. So, the use of the cognitive tools allows one to increase the validity and consistency of management decisions aimed at ensuring the effective functioning of the system. These studies belong to the direction of "Artificial Intelligence" in the composition of the cognitive sciences and are intended for use in the creation of the intelligent decision support systems.
Tags: имитационное моделирование, межрегиональная экономическая интеграция, исследование, когнитивная модель, сценарный анализ, устойчивость.
ISSN 1998-4502 (Print) ISSN 2499-975Х (Online)